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Harris/Harvard Poll Shows Trump Currently in the Lead for 2024 Primary

Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images

A Harris/Harvard CAPS poll released exclusively to The Hill on Monday had some very “huge” findings. “If the 2024 GOP presidential primary were held today, former President Donald Trump would win big,” reports Newsmax.

6 of 10 Republicans would favor the former president returning to 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. “While defeated candidates rarely come back, Trump has a strong lead in the Republican primary especially among the most dedicated Republicans,” said Mark Penn, co-director of the Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll survey.

Penn also told The Hill he believes that Trump’s lack of activity on social media after having been banned by Twitter as a result of the U.S. Capitol riot on Jan. 6 may be aiding in his polling numbers.

The poll shows Trump holding a massive lead of 45 points to the second-best challenger, former Vice President Mike Pence. After Pence is Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, in third place with 9%.

Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio are tied for fourth place with just 3% each, according to the poll. If Trump were removed from the ballot, the percentages show Pence reaching 32%, DeSantis at 20% and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz at 14%. All ahead of both Rubio and Haley, according to the story.

The poll shows the overall electorate is still split 48% to 47% in favor of him. General election voters give Trump a 2-point advantage when asked if he was a better president than Biden, with 51% to 49% saying he did a better job.

The poll is a collaboration of the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard University and the Harris Poll, conducted among 1,578 registered voters from Sept. 15-16, with 490 of those being Republicans, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.